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In the Men’s race, Cancellara put the hammer down to take the Men’s Olympic Time Trial. It was another

Olympic Time Trial Medalists

Olympic Time Trial Medalists

superb performance by the Swiss rider will add a gold metal to his bronze earned a few days ago on the road race. Cancellara collapsed and gasping put it all out there accelerating to the line.

Larsson surprised the field posting an incredible time that proved to be the mark to beat. He held off the big guns to earn a silver medal. Levi Leipheimer accelerated throughout the course to demand a place on the podium. He explained that he drew strength from the disappointment of missing this year’s Tour.

Contador started out strong but faded steadily. Cadel Evans put in a strong performance but just couldn’t get into the winners circle. Schumacher could not get it together finishing a disappointing 13th. Cummings and Zabriskie were just not able to get in the game.

Time Trial - Time Check Positions

Time Trial - Time Check Positions

Articles:
Cycling News
Cycling Weekly
Yahoo Sports
Velonews

Gold Medalist Kristen Armstrong

Gold Medalist Kristen Armstrong

In the Women’s Race, Emma Pooley put up the time to beat riding fifth out of the gate. In the end only Kristin Armstrong of the USA was able to best the time. Karin Thürig won bronze edging out Jeannie Longo-Ciprelli and Christine Thorburn by a handful of seconds. This was a great ride by the US placing 1st and 5th.

Judith Arndt put in a great ride but could manage only sixth. Christiane Soeder finished 7th. You could argue that the road race took something out of her. Hanka Kupfernagel struggled to hold on to 11th

Articles
Cycling News
Cycling Weekly
Yahoo Sports

Men’s Time Trial Results
1. CANCELLARA (SUI); Result: 1:02:11.43
2. LARSSON (SWE); Result: 1:02:44.79 (+0:33.36)
3. LEIPHEIMER (USA); Result: 1:03:21.11 (+1:09.68)
4. CONTADOR (ESP); Result: 1:03:29.51 (+1:18.08)
5. EVANS (AUS); Result: 1:03:34.97 (+1:23.54)
6. SANCHEZ (ESP); Result: 1:04:37.24 (+2:25.81)
7. TUFT (CAN); Result: 1:04:39.44 (+2:28.01)
8. ROGERS (AUS); Result: 1:04:46.85 (+2:35.42)
9. CLEMENT (NED); Result: 1:04:59.42 (+2:47.99)
10. GESINK (NED); Result: 1:05:02.88 (+2:51.45)
11. CUMMINGS (GBR); Result: 1:05:07.91 (+2:56.48)
12. ZABRISKIE (USA); Result: 1:05:17.82 (+3:06.39)
13. SCHUMACHER (GER); Result: 1:05:25.38 (+3:13.95)
14. GRABSCH (GER); Result: 1:05:26.20 (+3:14.77)
15. NIBALI (ITA); Result: 1:05:36.01 (+3:24.58)
16. HESJEDAL (CAN); Result: 1:05:42.33 (+3:30.90)
17. TAARAMAE (EST); Result: 1:05:47.33 (+3:35.90)
18. KARPETS (RUS); Result: 1:05:52.38 (+3:40.95)
19. SOERENSEN (DEN); Result: 1:05:55.42 (+3:43.99)
20. MENSHOV (RUS); Result: 1:06:10.54 (+3:59.11)
21. KIRYIENKA (BLR); Result: 1:06:12.19 (+4:00.76)
22. BRUSEGHIN (ITA); Result: 1:06:20.95 (+4:09.52)
23. KIRCHEN (LUX); Result: 1:06:29.63 (+4:18.20)
24. MIZUROV (KAZ); Result: 1:06:32.05 (+4:20.62)
25. BOTERO (COL); Result: 1:06:35.43 (+4:24.00)
26. MONFORT (BEL); Result: 1:07:12.71 (+5:01.28)
27. BODROGI (HUN); Result: 1:07:27.49 (+5:16.06)
28. SPILAK (SLO); Result: 1:07:34.86 (+5:23.43)
29. JURCO (SVK); Result: 1:07:52.92 (+5:41.49)
30. MEDICI (ARG); Result: 1:07:53.09 (+5:41.66)
31. GEORGE (RSA); Result: 1:07:55.21 (+5:43.78)
32. GRIVKO (UKR); Result: 1:08:01.25 (+5:49.82)
33. VANDBORG (DEN); Result: 1:08:10.20 (+5:58.77)
34. NIEMIEC (POL); Result: 1:08:43.43 (+6:32.00)
35. ASKARI (IRI); Result: 1:08:46.30 (+6:34.87)
36. BELOHVOSCIKS (LAT); Result: 1:08:54.96 (+6:43.53)
37. KOSTYUK (UKR); Result: 1:09:04.04 (+6:52.61)
38. KVASINA (CRO); Result: 1:09:06.49 (+6:55.06)
39. BEPPU (JPN); Result: 1:11:05.14 (+8:53.71)

Mens Time Trial Splits

First check at km 10.8
1 Alberto Contador (Spain), 17.49 (36.370 km/h)
2 Gustav Erik Larsson (Sweden), 18.07
3 Fabian Cancellara (Switzerland), 18.17
4 Levi Leipheimer (USA), 18.19
5 Cadel Evans (Australia), 18.24
6 Samuel Sánchez (Spain), 18.31
7 Kim Kirchen (Luxembourg), 18.36
8 Cummings (Great Britain), 18.40
9 Robert Gesink (Netherlands), 18.42
10 Chris Anker Sorensen (Denmark), 18.44

Second check at km 23.5
1 Fabian Cancellara (Switzerland), 30.36 (46.078 km/h)
2 Alberto Contador (Spain), 30.52
3 Gustav Erik Larsson (Sweden), 31.02
4 Levi Leipheimer (USA), 31.20
5 Cadel Evans (Australia), 31.38
6 Steve Cummings (Great Britain), 31.39
7 Kim Kirchen (Luxembourg), 31.50
8 Samuel Sánchez (Spain), 31.52
9 David Zabriskie (USA), 31.56
10 Robert Gesink (Netherlands), 32.02

Third check at km 34.6
1 Gustav Erik Larsson (Sweden), 49.52 (41.631 km/h)
2 Fabian Cancellara (Switzerland), 49.58
3 Alberto Contador (Spain), 50.09
4 Cadel Evans (Australia), 50.37
5 Levi Leipheimer (USA), 50.44
6 Samuel Sánchez (Spain), 51.17
7 Svein Tuft (Canada), 51.39
8 Robert Gesink (Netherlands), 51.40
9 Michael Rogers (Australia), 51.46
10 David Zabriskie (USA), 52.03

Women’s Time Trial Results
1 Kristin Armstrong (United States), 34.51.7 (40.459 km/h)
2 Emma Pooley (Great Britain), 0.24.3
3 Karin Thurig (Switzerland), 0.59.3
4 Jeannie Longo-Ciprelli (France), 1.00.9
5 Christine Thorburn (United States), 1.02.5
6 Judith Arndt (Germany), 1.08.1
7 Christiane Soeder (Austria), 1.29.0
8 Priska Doppmann (Switzerland), 1.36.1
9 Zulfiya Zabirova (Kazakhstan), 1.37.8
10 Susanne Ljungskog (SwedenSweden), 1.41.8
11 Hanka Kupfernagel (Germany), 1.43.4
12 Tatiana Guderzo (ItalyItaly), 1.46.3
13 Linda Melanie Villumsen Serup (DenmarkDenmark), 1.58.9
14 Marianne Vos (Netherlands), 2.07.0
15 Nicole Cooke (Great Britain), 2.22.6
16 Natalia Boyarskaya (Russia), 2.22.9
17 Min Gao (ChinaChina), 2.23.5
18 Mirjam Melchers-Van Poppel (Netherlands), 2.59.9
19 Marta Vilajosana (SpainSpain), 3.03.3
20 Maryline Salvetat (FranceFrance), 3.18.0
21 Emma Johansson (SwedenSweden), 3.37.1
22 Oenone Wood (Australia), 4.01.8
23 Edita Pucinskaite (Lithuania), 4.03.7
24 Alexandra Wrubleski (CanadaCanada), 4.23.7
25 Lang Meng (ChinaChina), 5.59.9

Allez915

2008 Olympic Medals

2008 Olympic Medals

I came across an interesting site which handicaps races of all types for online betting sites.  The average odds for the Olympic Time Trial at the site at the time of the post are listed below. The odds makers have all the favorites that we have been reading about for many weeks on the top of the list. 

The Men’s race looks to be wide open. Of the several riders who have a chance, here are my picks. I think Schumacher will win gold based mainly on the tour time trials where he really took it to the field including Cancellara. I think Leipheimer will win silver due to time trial and climbing skills. Cancellara’s is my pick for bronze due mainly to his effort in the road race and that he is a monster of course. Kim Kirchen is my spoiler for silver or bronze. He showed his mettle with two exceptional performances at this years Tour de France. He is on form and able to power on the mountains.

To be frank, I think the US would have been better off with Vande Velde for the time trial. He has nearly matched Kirchens TT performances this year and is excellent form. I would have put him in as spoiler as well. That said, Zabriskie may derive motivation to prove, as he has been saying, that he is in contention.

Underlying this situatuion is the selection process. I am not trying to second guess the US Olympic Committee or diminish the exceptional talants of Dave Zabriskie. I recognize that the process by which athletes are selected attempts to balance many factors and rightly so. Key among them is to select an athlete early enough for them to prepare adequately. In addition, an early select offers the potential for the athlete to time training for peak performance. Of course the other side of it is that an early selection has the disadvantage of missing the rider who is healthy and peaking. An early select may commit the team to a rider who does not mature as expected.

Unfortunately the ‘balance’ is cemented in the form of a selection process unique to each sport. It is an attempt to build the most competive team as fairly as possible. A process that for some sports limits flexibility. That is what we have in this case. 

It could be worse. Consider gymnastics. The fairness in submitting the the Karolyi’s to hand pick a team seems a bit suspect. Worse yet is having coaches invite players to a selection camp as was done for women’s basketball team selection. That situation lead to some major drama. I expect that the process will be adjusted and fine tuned many more times in the future.

Ok, sorry for the tangent.

As for the women’s race, I like Kristen Armstrong. She is more than capable of stomping this course and will. I have Soeder’s for silver based on a driven road race performance on top of strong time trial performance at worlds. World time trial champ Kupfernagel is my pick for bronze.

Men’s Field
Fabian Cancellara – 1.67 to 1
Stefan Schumacher – 4.75 to 1
Michael Rogers – 15 to 1
Christian Vandevelde – 19 to 1
Levi Leipheimer – 22 to 1
Alberto Contador – 22 to 1
David Zabriskie – 23 to 1
Cadel Evans – 23 to 1
Santiago Botero – 23 to 1

Women’s Field
Kristin Armstrong – 3.38 to 1
Hanka Kupfernagel – 3.38 to 1
Christiane Soeder – 5.46 to 1
Priska Doppmann – 5.46 to 1
Mirjam Melchers – 10.50 to 1
Jeannie Longo-Ciprelli – 10.50 to 1
Emma Pooley – 10.50 to 1
Zulfiya Zabirova – 10.97 to 1
Susanne Ljungskog – 12.88 to 1

Articles:
Guardian Article about the British Chances
CBS Sports Article on USA Zabriskie and Thorburn Chances
Cycling News Article on the Olympic Time Trial

2008 Olympic Time Trial Start List
Women
11:30:00 25 Alexandra Wrubleski (Canada)
11:32:00 24 Lang Meng (China)
11:34:00 23 Natalia Boyarskaya (Russia)
11:36:00 22 Edita Pucinskaite (Lithuania)
11:38:00 21 Emma Pooley (Great Britain)
11:40:00 20 Maryline Salvetat (France)
11:42:00 19 Emma Johansson (Sweden)
11:44:00 18 Min Gao (China)
11:46:00 17 Karin Thurig (Switzerland)
11:48:00 16 Marianne Vos (Netherlands)
11:50:00 15 Zulfiya Zabirova (Kazakhstan)
11:52:00 14 Linda Melanie Villumsen Serup (Denmark)
11:54:00 13 Judith Arndt (Germany)
11:56:00 12 Tatiana Guderzo (Italy)
11:58:00 11 Jeannie Longo-ciprelli (France)
12:00:00 10 Mirjam Melchers-Van Poppel (Netherlands)
12:02:00 9 Priska Doppmann (Switzerland)
12:04:00 8 Oenone Wood (Australia)
12:06:00 7 Marta Vilajosana (Spain)
12:08:00 6 Kristin Armstrong (USA)
12:10:00 5 Susanne Ljungskog (Sweden)
12:12:00 4 Christiane Soeder (Austria)
12:14:00 3 Nicole Cooke (Great Britain)
12:16:00 2 Christine Thorburn (USA)
12:18:00 1 Hanka Kupfernagel (Germany)

Men
Wave 1
13:30:00 39 Matias Medici (Argentina)
13:31:30 38 Fumiyuki Beppu (Japan)
13:33:00 37 Hossein Askari (Iran)
13:34:30 36 Svein Tuft (Canada)
13:36:00 35 Matija Kvasina (Croatia)
13:37:30 34 David George (South Africa)
13:39:00 33 Vasil Kiryienka (Belarus)
13:40:30 32 Matej Jurco (Slovakia)
13:42:00 31 Denys Kostyuk (Ukraine)
13:43:30 30 Steve Cummings (Great Britain)
13:45:00 29 Brian Vandborg (Denmark)
13:46:30 28 Raivis Belohvosciks (Latvia)
13:48:00 27 Robert Gesink (Netherlands)
Wave 2
14:30:00 26 Simon Spilak (Slovenia)
14:31:30 25 Rein Taaramae (Estonia)
14:33:00 24 Andriy Grivko (Ukraine)
14:34:30 23 Ryder Hesjedal (Canada)
14:36:00 22 Andrey Mizourov (Kazakhstan)
14:37:30 21 Przemyslaw Niemec (Poland)
14:39:00 20 Maxime Monfort (Belgium)
14:40:30 19 Vincenzo Nibali (Italy)
14:42:00 18 David Zabriskie (USA)
14:43:30 17 Laszlo Bodrogi (Hungary)
14:45:00 16 Chris Anker Sorensen (Denmark)
14:46:30 15 Bert Grabsch (Germany)
14:48:00 14 Denis Menchov (Russia)
Wave 3
15:30:00 13 Samuel Sánchez (Spain)
15:31:30 12 Santiago Botero (Colombia)
15:33:00 11 Marzio Bruseghin (Italy)
15:34:30 10 Michael Rogers (Australia)
15:36:00 9 Vladimir Karpets (Russia)
15:37:30 8 Kim Kirchen (Luxembourg)
15:39:00 7 Gustav Erik Larsson (Sweden)
15:40:30 6 Levi Leipheimer (USA)
15:42:00 5 Stef Clement (Netherlands)
15:43:30 4 Alberto Contador (Spain)
15:45:00 3 Cadel Evans (Australia)
15:46:30 2 Stefan Schumacher (Germany)
15:48:00 1 Fabian Cancellara (Switzerland)

Allez915

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